2% mortgage rates: Real or marketing gimmick? | Mortgage Rates, Mortgage News and Strategy : The Mortgage Reports (2024)

Mortgage rates under 2.5% are real — for some

United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM) made headlines recently for offering 2.5% mortgage and refinance rates. Now, it’s lowered the bar even further with a 2.25% VA loan rate.

And other lenders are following suit. At the time of writing this, at least one lender in our network was offering 30-year refinance rates as low as 2.49% (2.644% APR).*

But how realistic are those rates? Is 2.5% the exception, or is it a real rate available to regular borrowers?

As always, it depends on what you qualify for.

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*Rate estimate assumes a 720 credit score and 73% LTV ratio

Whether or not you qualify for 2.25%, rates are ridiculously low

The truth is, the lowest advertised rates almost always go to top-tier borrowers; those with excellent credit scores and 20% down payments.

So a 2.25% mortgage rate will be out of reach for many. But the good news is, rates are still incredibly low across the board.

No matter how strong your application, lenders are offering better rates now than they were a year, six months, or even one month ago.

Just how low is low? Freddie Mac has been reporting average weekly mortgage rates since the 1970s. Consider where we’ve been.

2% mortgage rates: Real or marketing gimmick? | Mortgage Rates, Mortgage News and Strategy : The Mortgage Reports (1)

The rates we’re seeing today are part of a long trend. A very long trend.

Since the early 1980s mortgage rates have generally trended down. 30-year rates have marched from 16.63% in 1981, to just 3.13% in June 2020.

Time PeriodAverage 30-Year RateTime PeriodAverage 30-Year Rate
198116.63%Jan. 20203.62%
199010.13%Feb. 20203.47%
20008.05%Mar. 20203.45%
20086.03%Apr. 20203.31%
20123.66%May 20203.23%
20193.94%June 25, 20203.13%

Data: Freddie Mac

Many wouldn’t have thought it possible 20 years ago — or even one year ago — but rates in the low-3% range are now being widely quoted. And rates in the 2s are a reality for some.

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Advertised mortgage rates vs. the rate you get

You’ve probably heard the ads for $1 million term-life insurance for $26 a month. These policies do exist — but not if you’re a smoker or 65 years old.

In a similar sense, there are a lot of alluring mortgage offers out there. Rates that are so low they look like typos. But is such financing really available?

The answer is yes for some borrowers but no for others. To see who qualifies and who doesn’t, you have to look at the entire offer.

The truth about 2.25% VA loan rates

Consider the advertised 2.25% VA mortgage rate from UWM as an example. (Though this line of reasoning applies to non-VA loans, too.)

All real estate financing comes with conditions and requirements of some type.

In the case of the 2.25% VA mortgage offer, UWM provides an example that assumes a “30-year Fixed-Rate VA Loan at an interest rate of 2.25% and 80% loan-to-value (LTV).”

As you read the example and related materials, there are some questions to ask.

  • Are you VA qualified?
  • What’s your credit score? (A minimum of 640 is required)
  • Are you buying a home or refinancing?
  • If you’re buying, are you willing to put 20% down?
  • If you’re refinancing, will you keep at least 20% equity in the home?
  • What’s the rate for VA financing with nothing down?

VA financing is available with 0% down for buyers, and current homeowners can refinance 100% of the property’s reasonable value using the VA streamline (IRRRL).

But those taking advantage of zero-down or low-down-payment options likely won’t get the lowest possible rates.

There’s always a compromise between how strong your application is, and how low a rate lenders will offer you.

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The best mortgage rate — it’s complicated

Mortgage lenders are in business to make money. The last thing they want is to decline loans, turn away borrowers, or make the application process any more difficult than necessary.

So why do borrowers have to meet such high standards to get the best mortgage rates?

The thing is, there’s a lot going on behind the scenes when a mortgage lender determines your rate.

Investors and the secondary mortgage market

Mortgages are routinely sold into the secondary market to such buyers as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and investors worldwide.

The secondary market is an electronic “place” where mortgages are bought and sold. By selling mortgages, lenders get the cash they can use to make new loans.

But such investors have their standards.

Investors in the secondary market want to buy standardized products. They may require a loan to have a certain down payment, debt-to-income ratio, and credit score.

Why? Because they want to be sure they’re making a safe investment. These types of criteria help lenders and investors verify that borrowers will be able to pay back their mortgages.

Loan program requirements

There are also different requirements to qualify for a mortgage — and a low rate — depending on what type of loan you apply for.

You can buy with little or nothing down with backing from the FHA, VA, USDA, and private mortgage insurance. These programs protect lenders if borrowers don’t make their payments.

But they also have certain requirements borrowers must meet to qualify for program support. If a home buyer can’t meet program standards then the loan application will not go through.

Mortgage company requirements

Regardless of other requirements, lenders may have additional standards — so-called “layering” — that borrowers must meet. These standards arise because lenders want to reduce risk.

For instance, the official guidelines say you can get FHA financing with a credit score of just 500 and 10% down. But those loans can be hard to find in reality. In fiscal year 2019, HUD reports that just 1.04% of all forward FHA loans had credit scores below 579. That’s because many lenders simply don’t want loans with lower credit scores.

Similarly, lenders get to decide what rates they’ll offer to borrowers. And those rates change daily.

You might be offered a higher or lower rate from one lender depending on its current workload, what types of loans it prefers to take on, how available investor money is at the moment, and so on.

How to find your lowest rate

Despite the complicated factors that influence your mortgage rate, you don’t have to be a finance expert to find the best deal. You just have to be willing to do a little work.

You’ll get the best mortgage rate when you find the lender and loan program that best fit your needs.

Shop around and speak with a few lenders before committing to a mortgage. That way you can be sure you’re getting the lowest rate available to you.

Time to make a move? Let us find the right mortgage for you
2% mortgage rates: Real or marketing gimmick? | Mortgage Rates, Mortgage News and Strategy : The Mortgage Reports (2024)

FAQs

Does anyone have a 2% mortgage rate? ›

Annie Tsai, chief operating officer at Interact, told Fortune that she purchased her home in San Mateo, California for around $1.7 million, with a 30-year fixed rate at 2.125% in 2021.

Will mortgage rates ever be 3% again? ›

In summary, it is unlikely that mortgage rates in the US will ever reach 3% again, at least not in the foreseeable future. This is due to a combination of factors, including: Higher Inflation: Inflation is currently at a 40-year high in the US, and the Federal Reserve is raising interest rates to combat it.

Are advertised mortgage rates accurate? ›

When you're shopping around for a mortgage loan, a lender may offer you an interest rate that's different from what's displayed on their website. Don't worry – this doesn't make you a victim of false advertising. Multiple factors – personal and otherwise – determine your mortgage rate.

How much are mortgage rates expected to drop in 2024? ›

Mortgage rate predictions 2024

The MBA's forecast suggests that 30-year mortgage rates will fall into the 6.4% to 6.7% range throughout the rest of 2024, and Fannie Mae is forecasting the same. NAR believes rates will average 7.1% this quarter and fall to 6.5% by the end of 2024.

Are the big winners of the pandemic 2% mortgage rate holders? ›

And the homeowners who locked in mortgage rates around 2% or 3% may just be the big financial winners of the pandemic, as rates are currently hovering around 7%. As of Tuesday's reading the average 30-year fixed rate came in at 6.75% and the average 15-year fixed rate at 6.17%.

What is the lowest mortgage rate ever recorded? ›

The average 30-year fixed rate reached an all-time record low of 2.65% in January 2021 before surging to 7.79% in October 2023, according to Freddie Mac.

How low will mortgage rates drop in 2025? ›

Around 6% or below by Q1 2025: "Rates hit 8% towards the end of last year, and right now we are seeing rates closer to 6.875%," says Haymore. "By the first quarter of 2025, mortgage rates could potentially fall below the 6% threshold, or maybe even lower."

Will mortgage rates ever be 4 again? ›

If those projections remain and the Fed begins to lower its key rate, mortgage rates will presumably follow suit. Sunbury predicts the Fed will cut rates by between 100 to 125 basis points starting in May or June of 2024. “This would bring the policy rate to 4% to 4.25%,” Sunbury explains.

Should I lock my mortgage rate today? ›

Once you find a rate that is an ideal fit for your budget, lock in the rate as soon as possible. There is no way to predict with certainty whether a rate will go up or down in the weeks or even months it sometimes takes to close your loan.

Are mortgage rates creeping up? ›

The Mortgage Bankers Association now predicts mortgage rates at 6.4% at year-end, up from its 6.1% forecast in January. The National Association of Realtors expects rates to average 7.1% this spring before settling at 6.5% by year-end. At the start of the year, NAR had predicted 6.3% at year-end.

Are mortgage rates going to get worse? ›

But until the Fed sees evidence of slowing economic growth, interest rates will stay higher for longer. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall to the mid-6% range through the end of 2024, potentially dipping into high-5% territory by the end of 2025.

Can you ask for a better mortgage rate? ›

The answer is yes — you can negotiate better mortgage rates and other fees with banks and mortgage lenders, if you're willing to haggle and know what fees to focus on. Many homebuyers start their house hunt focused on negotiating their home price, but don't spend as much time on their mortgage negotiation strategy.

How high could mortgage rates go by 2025? ›

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate as of Thursday was 6.99%. By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo's model expects 5.8%, and the Mortgage Bankers Association estimates 5.5%.

How high will mortgage interest rates be in 2024? ›

Will mortgage rates fall in 2024? Most housing market experts predict rates will end the year between 6% and 6.5%.

Will US mortgage rates go down in 2024? ›

While monetary easing should come later in the year, mortgage rates most likely won't see any meaningful drops in 2024. Look for the 30-year mortgage rate to remain in the low-7% range in June.”

How many Americans have a second mortgage? ›

Homes With a Second Mortgage in the U.S.
GeographyYearOwner-occupied housing units with either a second mortgage or home equity loan
United States20215,764,608
United States20206,105,481
United States20196,196,012
United States20186,516,767
8 more rows
Jul 31, 2023

Is it hard to qualify for 2 mortgages? ›

Second home mortgage requirements for borrowers

Borrowers may be approved with: A credit score of 680 or higher (typical) A credit score of 640-679 (with a down payment of 25% or more) A debt-to-income ratio (DTI) of up to 45%

Are 2nd mortgages a good idea? ›

It can be a good idea to get a second mortgage to pay off debt if you have high-interest debt. But keep in mind, credit card debt is not secured debt unlike a second mortgage, which is secured by your home's equity.

Why would you have 2 mortgages? ›

Not only can equity increase your net worth, but you can borrow money against the equity you've built in your home. If you want to tap into your home equity but don't want to sell your house, a second mortgage might be able to help.

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